IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
George Mason
Atlantic 10
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.8	#123
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.8	#239
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.1	#137

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.6	#117

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.5%	0.8%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.7%	9.0%	3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	4.0%	5.7%	1.5%
Average Seed	10.5	10.4	11.2

.500 or above	59.3%	69.7%	42.7%
.500 or above in Conference	47.7%	53.7%	38.1%
Conference Champion	4.0%	5.3%	2.1%
Last Place in Conference	5.6%	4.2%	7.8%

First Four	1.4%	1.9%	0.7%
First Round	5.9%	7.9%	2.6%
Second Round	2.0%	2.7%	0.8%
Sweet Sixteen	0.6%	0.9%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Neutral) - 61.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 2	2 - 4	3 - 8
Quad 3	5 - 4	8 - 12
Quad 4	7 - 1	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 26, 2020	163	Northeastern	W	70-67	61%
Nov 27, 2020	114	Belmont	L	73-74	45%
Nov 28, 2020	326	Howard	W	83-68	91%
Dec 04, 2020	39	@ Maryland	L	64-75	16%
Dec 08, 2020	323	Morgan St.	W	80-63	94%
Dec 12, 2020	249	James Madison	W	81-73	77%
Dec 13, 2020	118	Old Dominion	L	67-68	48%
Dec 16, 2020	327	Coppin St.	W	83-65	94%
Dec 22, 2020	184	Towson	W	72-65	73%
Dec 30, 2020	128	@ Massachusetts	L	71-73	41%
Jan 02, 2021	47	@ Dayton	L	66-76	19%
Jan 06, 2021	99	Virginia Commonwealth	W	70-69	52%
Jan 09, 2021	53	Richmond	L	70-74	37%
Jan 13, 2021	157	La Salle	W	74-68	69%
Jan 16, 2021	93	@ Rhode Island	L	70-76	31%
Jan 20, 2021	174	Saint Joseph's	W	80-73	70%
Jan 23, 2021	174	@ Saint Joseph's	W	77-76	52%
Jan 27, 2021	198	George Washington	W	73-65	75%
Jan 30, 2021	128	Massachusetts	W	74-70	61%
Feb 02, 2021	53	@ Richmond	L	67-77	20%
Feb 06, 2021	85	@ St. Bonaventure	L	65-72	29%
Feb 10, 2021	201	Fordham	W	67-59	76%
Feb 13, 2021	90	Duquesne	L	70-71	49%
Feb 20, 2021	99	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	67-72	32%
Feb 24, 2021	81	Davidson	L	68-69	46%
Feb 27, 2021	198	@ George Washington	W	70-68	56%
Mar 01, 2021	52	@ Saint Louis	L	64-74	20%
Projected Record						14 - 13	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.3	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.1		4.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.3	1.9	1.2	0.4	0.1				5.2	2nd
3rd											0.4	1.9	2.8	1.6	0.3	0.0					6.9	3rd
4th										0.3	2.0	3.6	1.7	0.4	0.0						8.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	1.8	4.4	2.4	0.3	0.0							9.1	5th
6th								0.1	1.4	4.6	3.2	0.4	0.0								9.7	6th
7th							0.0	0.9	4.1	4.0	0.8	0.0									9.8	7th
8th							0.4	3.2	4.5	1.2	0.1	0.0									9.4	8th
9th						0.3	2.3	4.5	1.8	0.2											8.9	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	1.3	4.2	2.4	0.2	0.0											8.2	10th
11th				0.0	0.9	3.1	2.5	0.4	0.0												6.9	11th
12th			0.0	0.6	2.4	2.6	0.6	0.0													6.3	12th
13th		0.1	0.5	1.6	1.7	0.5	0.0														4.5	13th
14th	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.9	0.3	0.0	0.0														2.9	14th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.4	3.2	5.4	7.8	10.1	11.5	12.1	12.0	10.9	8.7	6.3	4.6	2.9	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.1			Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	86.9%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
15-3	71.8%	1.0		0.6	0.3	0.1
14-4	46.2%	1.3		0.6	0.6	0.1	0.0
13-5	14.9%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.2%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0							0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.0%	4.0		2.0	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		100.0%	44.3%	55.7%	3.4		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
17-1	0.2%		99.4%	34.0%	65.4%	5.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.0%
16-2	0.7%		87.6%	26.0%	61.6%	7.5			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.1		83.3%
15-3	1.4%		76.7%	23.0%	53.6%	9.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.3		69.7%
14-4	2.9%		51.0%	12.2%	38.8%	10.5						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0			1.4		44.2%
13-5	4.6%		28.1%	10.0%	18.1%	11.3								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0			3.3		20.1%
12-6	6.3%		13.4%	7.4%	6.1%	11.7										0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0		5.4		6.5%
11-7	8.7%		6.5%	3.9%	2.6%	12.1										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		8.1		2.7%
10-8	10.9%		3.2%	2.5%	0.7%	12.5											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		10.6		0.7%
9-9	12.0%		1.3%	1.3%		13.0													0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		11.9
8-10	12.1%		0.8%	0.8%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	12.0
7-11	11.5%		0.2%	0.2%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.5
6-12	10.1%		0.1%	0.1%		15.9																0.0	0.0	10.1
5-13	7.8%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		7.8
4-14	5.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.4
3-15	3.2%																							3.2
2-16	1.4%																							1.4
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		6.7%	2.8%	3.9%	10.5		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.4	1.8	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0	93.3		4.0%